Tuesday, March 28, 2017

What IF Trump is guilty?


Well of course the first thing you say is he will be impeached and then found guilty in the Senate. And probably so, I do not think he will resign. He might. I do not think so. He may try to pull off some miracle in the Senate. Maybe he has some info on enough Senators to keep him in office. At this point who knows. Or maybe the Republicans cave in and not vote for impeachment. They still have their agenda they think they can push with Trump as President.

If he is guilty of collaborating with the Russians; hiding info on his staff who may have collaborated; actual dealings with the Russians that conflict with American policy or affect his ability to make American policy; Putin actually has dirt on him; or anyone of many scenarios that seem to be developing may not really matter.

What matters is what happens post Trump.

Does Pence become President? The first answer is yes, but…. Are there alt-right groups readying for a fight with the government? Who supports who? Are there deep government agents that would support Trump and keep him from leaving the White House?  What if the evidence is undeniable and yet he isn’t convicted? What kind of power grab would come into play if he is convicted? Of course, how soon to the next election may play a part in the power play. What would Wall Street do? What would other countries do? Would North Korea see this as a chance to attack us? Would Europe celebrate or will their far-right groups have come into power and support him coming back to America? Will we have to put up with a return of Clinton? Will Russia fully invade Ukraine or the Baltics or both? Where does this leave NATO?

Trump in such a short time makes his departure very dangerous. People who hate him still do not realize how convoluted the immediate future might become. I am not saying we need to keep him. By no means, no.

Is Pence also guilty? He might be. Can we trust he isn’t? So, do we impeach them together? Do we really want Ryan as President? Or Hatch? Or Tillerson? If the Russians are involved, that probably leaves Tillerson out. Or does it? Do we trust the military? The military industrial complex? We once had a President who said do not trust the military industrial complex. This might be a good opportunity for certain rogue generals to screw us entirely. Or what happens if our military is caught in a situation where we are attacked and no one knows who to trust to lead them. This is especially important if it is a nuclear attack. Who has the nuclear codes while he is on trial in the Senate? Pence? If we are impeaching both? Ryan? And when does the power switch over? Are we ready to swear somebody in the second the vote is in?
Nixon resigned and Clinton was spared so we didn’t have to play out the nuclear scenario, however, now things have drastically changed. Even if Nixon or Clinton were impeached, it was all internal. There was no possible foreign involvement. Most countries would have probably kept clear to avoid an international flare up. Now, you have North Korea, ISIS, Al Qaeda, and of course Russia posing immediate threats. Who else might try to make power plays? China? Iran? I think the latter two might take a wait and see approach unless events got hot fast. Again, what does NATO do if Russia attacks somewhere in Europe. Do they fight alone till we figure it out?

If Trump is in collusion with Russia, do we get cyberattacked to create a distraction to prevent impeachment? Who responds and how?

And who on God’s green Earth plans for all this? Is anyone thinking about this? If so, under what pretense? Do you give President Trump an intelligent briefing on the subject? Yeah right, but who do you give it to? The House and Senate? All of them? Just select committee members? And again, is anyone putting all this on paper? And if so, what will they try to accomplish? A short-term fix? Getting from Trump to Successor? Or till next election? Or will they just figure civilians cannot run government anyway and never give up power? Which now makes whoever usurps civilian leadership, guilty of treason. Which as you know, many people think Trump is guilty of treason. Where does it end?

Yeah it is a warm spring night here in Texas with possible storms on the horizon. Is there too much electricity in the air and I am spinning out of control? I am listening to Rick Wakeman on youtube playing piano, first with some Yes songs, then actually some Beatles, hopefully to keep my calm, now Amazing Grace. Interesting music to be listening to as I ramble away at high levels of paranoia of what could happen if our fears have come true and we have elected a traitor to our country or a complete imbecile.

Internally and externally the challenges WILL be many. There is no doubt that if the deal goes down as the good doctor use to say, then this deal is really going down. I could go on for hours with all sorts of possible nightmare scenarios. I actually have some answers, but at this point they would only create more problems. One reason is no one is going to trust anyone right away and with all the hate going on between the Trump supporters and Trump detractors there could be some fringe trouble for a long time.  I think most of us, would look to find stability fast and move forward.  And we will survive as a country. There will be struggles. Trump has unsettled us. And there are Republicans who really need to sit down and realize they have let this country down by not denouncing him right away. And there are Democrats who cannot begin to gloat.

As I have written for years, we need new leadership in our country that will put the people first and this will be even more needed post Trump. Let us hope the people realize this and step up and take over, or hold our elected officials accountable so we can move to the next phase in our history. We are a great country and if we can move forward past Trump we can become even greater.

This will be a test.


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