So let’s pretend Mr. Trump is going to win not just the
Republican nomination, but the Presidency. And our good friend Senator Cruz (oh
yeah that is right, it is Senator Cruz) heads back to the Senate with his tail
between his legs especially after how brutal things have been so far and what
may come about in the Convention this summer. What happens next?
Does Senator Cruz pull together all his buddies in the
Senate and block everything Mr. Trump wants? Probably good for Mr. Trump that the
Senator has never really won Miss Congeniality in the Senate. There are some
die hard Tea Party members and maybe even a few establishment Republicans that
may decide not to play nice in the sand box. Or does everyone jump on the Trump
bandwagon till he actually does something that either ticks off the donor class
or actually alienates his current supporters. It may take much for the latter to
happen, but sooner or later like the rank and file tea party members that are
upset at the current Congress for not passing what they feel was going to be
passed; Mr. Trump is actually going to have to produce. Or convince all these
riled up supporters who voted for him, it is not his fault, but the
obstructionist Congress… wait doesn’t that sound familiar.
Oh and speaking of Congress, how does all the Super PACs for
the two parties in Congress feel about Mr. Trump? Does the Senate Leadership
Fund decide to support Cruz? These Super PACs like having the people they
choose to win, win. Do they feel a Trump presidency interferes with all their
hard work to get the “right” people elected to Congress?
This will be interesting to find out. Am I right in my fear
that Mr. Trump is a false prophet and since he comes from the billionaire world
he will eventually support the 1% agenda. Or are his supporters correct and he
will actually try and dismantle the free trade agreements, follow through on
his put America first agenda, reduce what he thinks is unnecessary military
spending and a few other of his ideas to “make America great again”. The wall on the border scenario is a pipe
dream that even if he really wants is not going to be the first item on Mr.
Trump’s agenda. Much less anything that is accomplished in the infamous first
100 days.
So do we have a battle royal between the Trump presidency
and Congress? Does he actually have a few pragmatic ideas that by popular will
Congress acquiesces and some of Trump’s agenda is passed? Or will the donor
class (1%) through the super pacs completely shut him down by their control of
Congress?
How much does the Democratic side of Congress get to play
into this? Will their donor class clamp down on them and they support an agenda
more in line with what the establishment wants with Trump on their side as
mentioned above as my fear.
So if Trump wins, who wins?
Ms. Clinton is a known evil. There will be lip service to a
few social agenda items that make some headway. Unfortunately for her, one of
the biggest liberal advancements has already happened when the Supreme Court
ruled in favor of gay marriage. This one kind of stole her thunder. So how far
to the left in social issues will she have to go to appease the left wing of
the party. We all know the status quo in DC and Wall Street will be allowed to
continue their undue influence over our government. How well does she hide it from
the newly inspired Bernie Bros in her party that we aren’t going to see much of
what Mr. Sanders has been campaigning on?
Will they bolt before November if they wake up to that truth in time or
can she fake it enough to win their votes? I think most of the Bernie Bros are
already attuned to the truth about Ms. Clinton which hurts her dramatically in
a head to head with Mr. Trump.
One oddity that might happen is the Bernie Bros turn out for
Trump and the establishment Republicans turn out for Clinton. Headlines to this
effect are starting to pop up quite frequently so I do not claim any personal triumphant
breakthrough on this idea. How much this
happens is yet to be seen, but it would not surprise me that it happens so
strongly it creates a wash so it boils back down to how well Trump supporters
come out to vote vs the Democratic mainstream holding their nose long enough to
vote.
Going back to the original question and thoughts, how much
will Cruz cooperate now that Trump has insulted his wife and Dad and who knows
who else before it is all over. Can Cruz muster enough support among Congress
to wreck a Trump presidency? Will anything he does matter going forward if he
is pushed aside for the rest of the primary and then out of the convention?
It is not a complete definite yet, but the drama maybe over
and the Republican convention may end up being a civil acceptance of the fact
Republicans on main street are ticked off at the establishment and the
establishment may just have to wait four years to get their party back. Or will
they ever get it back? My guess is yes. The super billionaires et all have way
too much at stake for one crazed ego maniac to ruin their dreams. They still
own Congress so our hope rests in taking over Congress or any Trump presidency
will become a side note in populist history.
And as I always ramble on about, we need a new party that
represents the middle class and takes on the dismantling of the current
establishment in DC long enough to enact legislation that actually benefits you
and I. This is something that would take a few election cycles to accomplish
and at the very least would put a hold on the 1%’s march of the ruination of
democracy, our constitution, our country, and us.
Long live the Constitution, the Constitution is dying.
No question about this… it is one beautiful spring night
here in North Texas. I am still ticked at the Mavs for losing the last regular
season game against the Spurs bench. Did
ya see how things turned out for Portland? Sheesh! Anyway the Stars are moving along and the
Rangers are doing a few things right so hopefully the Dallas Sports world will
have a good May and June.
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